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Matches / Upcoming / G2 vs Astralis

G2 vs Astralis: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · FISSURE Playground 3

G2
World #9 · 41-27
VS
2026-09-08 12:00 UTC
FISSURE Playground 3 · Best of 3 · ★★
Astralis
World #13 · 30-24
73%
Win probability
27%
67%
1.42.83Market · 15 booksBookmakerG2ASTGranaWin1.372.781red1.382.8Epicbet1.382.8Stake1.382.8Thunderpick Row1.382.81xBit1.42.841xbet1.42.84ColdBet1.42.84Spinbet1.42.84Vivatbet1.42.84ZizoBet1.42.83betlabel1.42.84duelbits1.42.8Sweatbet 1.412.8GGBet1.422.83
33%
The call · high confidence

G2 are favoured: our model gives them 73% against Astralis. Bookmakers lean G2 at 67%. Strength slightly favours G2, firepower clearly favours G2, head-to-head clearly favours G2.

Likely mapsAncient · Cache · Inferno

Recent form

G2

Falcons3d ago0-2AuroraStompStomp13-1OvertimeOT7d ago2-1Natus VincerePistolsPist4/48d ago2-0Spirit10d ago0-2AuroraOvertimeOT12d ago2-0FURIA18d ago1-2Astralis19d ago2-1BIGStompStomp13-1OvertimeOT25d ago2-1M80PistolsPist2/226d ago13-11Liquid1mo ago0-2Nemiga2mo ago2-1SpiritOvertimeOT3mo ago1-2Natus VincereOvertimeOT3mo ago2-1LegacyPistolsPist3/43mo ago2-0Aurora3mo ago0-2

Astralis

G219d ago1-2Ninjas in Pyjamas22d ago2-1Falcons25d ago0-2MIBR26d ago13-6MOUZ1mo ago1-2paiNOvertimeOT1mo ago2-1HOTUStompStomp13-11mo ago2-1HEROIC2mo ago0-2HOTUUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT2mo ago0-2FOKUSPistolsPist5/6StompStomp13-12mo ago2-1Nemesis2mo ago2-1paiN3mo ago0-2TYLOO3mo ago6-139z3mo ago5-13GamerLegion3mo ago13-4

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
19d ago G22 : 1 Astralis◆ same lineupEsports World Cup 20264mo ago Astralis0 : 2 G2!
⚠ Different lineup
G2
outSunPayus
inr1nkle
BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 1
Spirit#12-122-2
G2 vs Spirit
Aug 28LDust26-13Cache9-13Jun 19LOverpass13-9Dust214-16Mirage22-25May 15LDust26-13Ancient11-13
+3 earlier meetings
Astralis vs Spirit
Mar 13WDust213-6Ancient13-7Jan 31LDust213-16Overpass8-13
Falcons#21-40-2
G2 vs Falcons
Sep 4LInferno6-13Dust29-13Jun 11LInferno13-10Dust28-13Ancient13-16
Astralis vs Falcons
Aug 13LAncient7-13Dust211-13
FURIA#31-23-3
G2 vs FURIA
Aug 20LAncient3-13Anubis13-3Dust24-13
Astralis vs FURIA
Mar 10WNuke13-4Dust29-13Inferno13-4Feb 3LOverpass13-8Mirage11-13Nuke9-13
MOUZ#51-42-4
G2 vs MOUZ
May 10LDust216-14Mirage10-13Inferno7-13Feb 6LOverpass13-16Dust27-13
Astralis vs MOUZ
Aug 1LAncient13-6Mirage9-13Dust29-13Mar 7LAncient16-14Mirage1-13Overpass3-13
FUT#66-69-9
G2 vs FUT
Jun 12WOverpass13-5Ancient6-13Mirage13-9Jun 7LAnubis11-13Overpass13-7Ancient4-13Mar 10LMirage13-4Dust211-13Overpass11-13
+1 earlier meeting
Astralis vs FUT
Apr 30WMirage13-5Nuke13-10Apr 11LAncient5-13Mirage5-13Nuke16-14Dust23-13Mar 15WDust28-13Ancient13-4Overpass16-12
+4 earlier meetings
Legacy#72-20-4
G2 vs Legacy
Jun 14WDust213-7Overpass13-4Mar 2LInferno14-16Dust28-13
Astralis vs Legacy
May 13LDust28-13Nuke6-13Mar 8LDust27-13Ancient7-13
Natus Vincere#86-40-2
G2 vs Natus Vincere
Aug 30WAncient13-6Inferno13-10Jun 15WDust211-13Inferno16-14Mirage13-10Mar 7WDust27-13Mirage13-5Ancient13-7
+1 earlier meeting
Astralis vs Natus Vincere
Feb 14LNuke10-13Mirage6-13
Aurora#104-51-4
G2 vs Aurora
Aug 31WAnubis7-13Inferno19-16Mirage13-1Aug 26WInferno13-5Anubis16-12Jun 13LOverpass8-13Anubis7-13
+1 earlier meeting
Astralis vs Aurora
Mar 14LNuke13-11Dust22-13Inferno10-13Feb 18LOverpass7-13Dust211-13

Firepower

roster ratings

G2 · avg 1.13 · top +0.09

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
HeavyGod1571.177.175.6%59%1.22
NertZ1061.067973%55%1.16
MATYS1571.0272.874.7%65%1.12
r1nkle261.2168.774.9%32%1.09
huNter-147171.873.4%53%1.07

Astralis · avg 1.09 · top +0.11

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Staehr1261.0781.972.2%58%1.2
jabbi1261.0575.672.3%61%1.16
phzy1261.17171.3%31%1.1
ryu1260.9870.873.3%52%1.07
HooXi1260.7761.468.4%54%0.9

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, G2 vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapG2AST
NukeG2 bann/a0g47%9-10
G2 on Nuke
no recent maps
Astralis on Nuke
WNinjas in Pyjamas13–322d agoLpaiN10–131mo agoLHOTU7–131mo agoWFOKUS13–12mo agoLNemesis11–132mo agoLpaiN11–133mo agoLTYLOO6–133mo agoL9z5–133mo ago
AnubisAST ban31%5-11n/a0g
G2 on Anubis
LAurora7–137d agoWAurora16–1212d agoWFURIA13–318d agoLLiquid6–131mo agoLNemiga9–132mo agoLAurora7–133mo agoLFUT11–133mo agoLBetBoom10–135mo ago
Astralis on Anubis
no recent maps
AncientG2 pick64%18-1073%19-7
G2 on Ancient
WNatus Vincere13–68d agoLFURIA3–1318d agoLAstralis6–1319d agoLBIG13–1625d agoWNemiga13–82mo agoLFUT6–133mo agoLFalcons13–163mo agoLFUT4–133mo ago
Astralis on Ancient
WG213–619d agoLFalcons7–1325d agoWMOUZ13–61mo agoWHOTU13–101mo agoLHEROIC10–132mo agoLHOTU13–162mo agoWFOKUS13–112mo agoWNemesis13–102mo ago
CacheAST pick50%1-175%3-1
G2 on Cache
LSpirit9–1310d agoWBIG13–525d ago
Astralis on Cache
WNinjas in Pyjamas13–722d agoWHOTU13–11mo agoLHOTU14–162mo agoWNemesis13–72mo ago
MirageG2 ban61%20-1340%8-12
G2 on Mirage
WAurora13–17d agoWM8013–1126d agoLLiquid5–131mo agoWNemiga13–82mo agoLSpirit22–253mo agoWNatus Vincere13–103mo agoWFUT13–93mo agoWBIG13–83mo ago
Astralis on Mirage
LMOUZ9–131mo agoWpaiN16–141mo agoLGamerLegion3–134mo agoWSINNERS13–114mo agoWFUT13–54mo agoLFUT5–135mo agoLEYEBALLERS8–135mo agoWThe MongolZ13–45mo ago
Dust2AST ban50%19-1925%6-18
G2 on Dust2
LFalcons9–133d agoLSpirit6–1310d agoLFURIA4–1318d agoWAstralis13–619d agoLSpirit14–163mo agoLNatus Vincere11–133mo agoWLegacy13–73mo agoLFalcons8–133mo ago
Astralis on Dust2
LG26–1319d agoLFalcons11–1325d agoLMOUZ9–131mo agoLHEROIC10–132mo agoLFOKUS10–132mo agoLLegacy8–134mo agoWLiquid13–44mo agoLG25–134mo ago
Infernodecider63%15-958%7-5
G2 on Inferno
LFalcons6–133d agoWAurora19–167d agoWNatus Vincere13–108d agoWAurora13–512d agoWAstralis13–719d agoWBIG13–125d agoWNatus Vincere16–143mo agoWFalcons13–103mo ago
Astralis on Inferno
LG27–1319d agoLNinjas in Pyjamas10–1322d agoWMIBR13–626d agoWpaiN19–171mo agoWSINNERS13–84mo agoLGamerLegion14–164mo agoWEYEBALLERS13–25mo agoLAurora10–136mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: G2 Nuke · Astralis Anubis.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

Astralis55%to win the seriesiMap edgesAncient: Astralis 59% · Cache: Astralis 56% toss-up · Inferno: G2 55% toss-upWhyAstralis hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesG2 45%: 2-1 27%, 2-0 18%  ·  Astralis 55%: 2-0 33%, 2-1 22%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
G2 45%It’s nearly a coin-flip. Astralis only lead because their Ancient is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.55% Astralis
Ancient
G241%
Astralis59%
18-10record19-7
64%win73%
61%CT win63%
48%T win52%
66%pistol56%
76%convert86%
Cache
G244%
Astralis56%
1-1record3-1
50%win75%
46%CT win73%
69%T win53%
50%pistol75%
100%convert100%
Inferno
G255%
Astralis45%
15-9record7-5
63%win58%
64%CT win60%
46%T win48%
48%pistol54%
87%convert77%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
G2ct
G2t
ASTct
ASTt
G2pistol
G2conv
G2eco
ASTpistol
ASTconv
ASTeco
Ancientpool
61%167/274
48%143/297
63%149/238
52%153/292
66%37/56
76%28/37
37%7/19
56%29/52
86%25/29
4%1/23
Cachepool
46%11/24
69%11/16
73%35/48
53%16/30
50%2/4
100%2/2
50%1/2
75%6/8
100%6/6
50%1/2
Infernopool
64%154/242
46%121/263
60%79/131
48%56/117
48%23/48
87%20/23
32%8/25
54%13/24
77%10/13
55%6/11
Nukeban
n/a
n/a
57%105/184
43%81/190
n/a
n/a
n/a
45%17/38
76%13/17
19%4/21
Anubisban
43%66/153
50%94/189
n/a
n/a
56%18/32
72%13/18
21%3/14
n/a
n/a
n/a
Mirageban
60%203/341
53%188/354
49%118/240
43%73/171
59%39/66
90%35/39
26%7/27
40%16/40
88%14/16
13%3/24
Dust2ban
52%196/380
52%197/382
45%131/288
40%81/205
57%43/76
86%37/43
30%10/33
48%23/48
83%19/23
8%2/25
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (G2 57%, Astralis 57%). Nobody has an edge.
Win the pistol → Astralis usually win the next round too (85% vs 81%). Lose the pistol → G2 fight back to win the next round more often (35% vs 22%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

G2

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i22/89 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 89 maps they won, 22 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs FURIAAnubisfrom 10 downvs BIGCachefrom 8 downvs AcendDust2from 6 downvs Gaimin GladiatorsInfernofrom 5 downvs GamerLegionInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i28/68 (41%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 68 maps they lost, 28 (41%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FURIAAncientled 10 · lost 3-13vs Natus VincereAncientled 8 · lost 9-13vs BetBoomMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs Passion UAOverpassled 5 · lost 8-13vs FUTMirageled 5 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FURIAAnubisfrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FURIAAncientled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 23Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 23 went to overtime.vs LiquidAnubis16-14vs SpiritDust213-16vs MOUZOverpass13-16vs LegacyInferno14-16vs paiNInferno14-16

Astralis

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/65 (20%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 65 maps they won, 13 (20%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 20% of their wins were comebacks, not 20% of all games.vs MOUZAncientfrom 7 downvs EYEBALLERSAncientfrom 7 downvs The MongolZAncientfrom 6 downvs FUTNukefrom 6 downvs HOTUAncientfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i14/61 (23%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 61 maps they lost, 14 (23%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AuroraDust2led 8 · lost 11-13vs GamerLegionInfernoled 8 · lost 14-16vs PARIVISIONDust2led 6 · lost 13-16vs SpiritOverpassled 4 · lost 8-13vs paiNNukeled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MOUZAncientfrom 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AuroraDust2led 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs fnaticMirage12-16vs NRGMirage14-16vs SpiritDust213-16vs PARIVISIONDust213-16vs HEROICDust216-13

G2 vs Astralis FAQ

Who is favored to win G2 vs Astralis?

G2 are favored with a 73% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for G2 vs Astralis?

Bookmakers price G2 at 1.4 and Astralis at 2.83 (implied 67% vs 33%).

When do G2 and Astralis play?

G2 vs Astralis is scheduled for 2026-09-08 12:00 UTC at FISSURE Playground 3.

G2 vs Astralis Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER