Matches / Upcoming / MOUZ vs TYLOO
MOUZ vs TYLOO: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · IEM Beijing 2026
IEM Beijing 2026 · Best of 3 · ★
63%37%
84%
1.125.8Market · 23 books
16%The call
MOUZ are favoured: our model gives them 63% against TYLOO. Bookmakers lean MOUZ at 84%. Strength clearly favours MOUZ, form clearly favours MOUZ, firepower slightly favours TYLOO, head-to-head slightly favours TYLOO.
Likely mapsMirage · Inferno · Cache
Firepower
roster ratingsMOUZ · avg 1.12 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
TYLOO · avg 1.17 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
FURIA#36-60-2
MOUZ vs FURIA
Oct 9WNuke13-11Inferno13-6Oct 4WCache13-4Mirage13-7Sep 19LCache8-13Mirage19-16Nuke6-13+2 earlier meetings
TYLOO vs FURIA
Mar 18LMirage8-13Overpass11-13
Falcons#65-31-4
Legacy#74-10-4
FUT#105-80-2
MOUZ vs FUT
Aug 21LDust213-16Ancient5-13Aug 14LAncient6-13Nuke16-12Mirage11-13Jun 14LAncient11-13Nuke13-10Mirage7-13+2 earlier meetings
MIBR#122-00-1
MOUZ vs MIBR
May 24WOverpass13-3Ancient13-1TYLOO vs MIBR
Jun 2LNuke14-16
PARIVISION#134-31-2
9z#154-41-6
Astralis#164-21-0
TYLOO vs Astralis
Jun 7WNuke13-6Map lab
TYLOO62%to win the Bo3 · most likely TYLOO 2-1
If the veto goes
MOUZ 38%how the series ends62% TYLOO
24%2-025%
14%2-136%
MOUZ44%26-9vsTYLOO56%30-8
74%Win79%
63%CT64%
52%T60%
47%Pistol63%
88%Conv90%
MOUZ55%18-9vsTYLOO45%18-11
67%Win62%
60%CT57%
52%T48%
56%Pistol52%
70%Conv67%
MOUZ29%3-4vsTYLOO71%4-1
43%Win80%
63%CT77%
38%T43%
43%Pistol60%
100%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
MOUZMirageTYLOO
63%CT side64%
52%T side60%
47%Pistol63%
88%After win90%
32%After loss14%
MOUZInfernoTYLOO
60%CT side57%
52%T side48%
56%Pistol52%
70%After win67%
33%After loss18%
MOUZCacheTYLOO
63%CT side77%
38%T side43%
43%Pistol60%
100%After win100%
25%After loss25%
Pistol rounds50% · 58% · TYLOO win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol81% · 82% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol32% · 17% · MOUZ fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, MOUZ vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapMOUTYL
AnubisMOU bann/a0g40%2-3
MOUZ on Anubis
no recent maps
Dust2TYL ban46%17-20n/a0g
MOUZ on Dust2
L
Vitality12–1611d agoW
Spirit13–712d agoWSpirit13–517d agoL
NRG10–131mo agoLSpirit8–132mo agoWVitality13–112mo agoLFUT13–162mo agoWPARIVISION13–42mo agoTYLOO on Dust2
no recent maps
MirageMOU pick74%26-979%30-8
InfernoTYL pick67%18-962%18-11
AncientMOU ban42%8-1159%17-12
NukeTYL ban60%15-1062%13-8
Each team's usual first ban: MOUZ Anubis · TYLOO Dust2.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
MOUZ
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i35/97 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 97 maps they won, 35 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs FUTOverpassfrom 9 downvs Inner CircleAncientfrom 9 downvs GamerLegionNukefrom 8 downvs NRGInfernofrom 8 downvs SpiritDust2from 8 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/64 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 64 maps they lost, 21 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AstralisAncientled 7 · lost 14-16vs FUTDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs Natus VincereCacheled 6 · lost 10-13vs Natus VincereAncientled 5 · lost 10-13vs 9zAncientled 5 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FUTOverpassfrom 9 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AstralisAncientled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs FalconsInferno16-14vs FalconsDust219-17vs G2Overpass16-13vs FUTOverpass16-14vs AstralisAncient14-16
TYLOO
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i28/91 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 91 maps they won, 28 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs MorningstarAncientfrom 6 downvs SemperFiMiragefrom 6 downvs 9zMiragefrom 6 downvs NEXVOIDCachefrom 6 downvs FengDaNukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/48 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 48 maps they lost, 15 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AllianceAncientled 8 · lost 11-13vs Lynn VisionInfernoled 7 · lost 10-13vs Chinggis WarriorsNukeled 5 · lost 9-13vs SemperFiAncientled 4 · lost 11-13vs Lynn VisionNukeled 4 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MorningstarAncientfrom 6 down · won 25-22
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AllianceAncientled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini6.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 10Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 10 went to overtime.vs Rare AtomInferno19-17vs Lynn VisionNuke16-12vs MorningstarAncient25-22vs FalconsInferno16-14vs URMirage16-13
MOUZ vs TYLOO FAQ
Who is favored to win MOUZ vs TYLOO?
MOUZ are favored with a 63% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for MOUZ vs TYLOO?
Bookmakers price MOUZ at 1.12 and TYLOO at 5.8 (implied 84% vs 16%).
When do MOUZ and TYLOO play?
MOUZ vs TYLOO is scheduled for 2026-11-02 07:00 UTC at IEM Beijing 2026.