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FOKUS vs BAKS: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 12

FOKUS
World #52 · 55-36
VS
2026-10-31 15:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · Best of 3
BAKS
World #106 · 25-21
CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · Best of 3
73%
Win probability
27%
74%
1.263.54Market · 9 booksBookmakerFOKBAKGGBet1.233.7GranaWin1.243.47ivibet1.243.471xBit1.263.541xbet1.263.54ColdBet1.263.54Spinbet1.263.54Vivatbet1.263.54betlabel1.263.54
26%
The call · high confidence

FOKUS are favoured: our model gives them 73% against BAKS. Bookmakers lean FOKUS at 74%. Strength clearly favours FOKUS, firepower slightly favours BAKS.

Likely mapsAncient · Cache · Nuke

Firepower

roster ratings

FOKUS · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
jocab★1.137676.5%47%1.17
Matheos1.0478.172.4%62%1.15
podi1.2171.374.4%31%1.14
Banjo1.0373.274.3%52%1.13
ztr0.9272.771.3%49%1.04

BAKS · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.03iStar gap: the best player rates 0.03 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
danistzz★1.272.775.2%37%1.13
turbo1.0573.473.1%65%1.13
whisper1.0674.471.9%65%1.12
Norwi0.9774.671.5%45%1.1
glowiing0.9575.569.8%58%1.01

Recent form

FOKUS

LFO 10PistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT1d ago2-0BRUTEPistolsPist5/6OvertimeOT4d ago2-1Nuclear TigeRES4d ago2-1ex-Zero Tenacity5d ago2-0ex-6666ComebackCB7OvertimeOT7d ago2-0UNiTYUpsetUpset10d ago1-2ex-Zero TenacityComebackCB8OvertimeOT11d ago2-0Nuclear TigeRES17d ago1-2Younglings17d ago2-0Just PlayersPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-217d ago2-0ex-Zero TenacityStompStomp13-218d ago13-2Nordic Partners20d ago9-13BBL29d ago1-2JiJieHao29d ago8-13Johnny SpeedsPistolsPist2/2StompStomp13-129d ago13-1

BAKS

GenOne1d ago2-1Saint SinnersComebackCB64d ago2-1Metizport6d ago1-2Illyrians7d ago2-1BRUTE8d ago1-2AzuolasPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-29d ago2-0LFO 10UpsetUpset10d ago1-2Illyrians11d ago2-1Black Phoenix12d ago0-2FORZE ReloadStompStomp0-1313d ago0-2G2 AresBlew leadBL6OvertimeOT15d ago2-1Bushido WildcatsStompStomp13-2OvertimeOT17d ago2-1Spirit Academy18d ago2-0CYBERSHOKE1mo ago0-2CRUISER AURORA1mo ago2-0

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Virtus.pro#551-21-2
FOKUS vs Virtus.pro
Sep 12LCache13-11Mirage10-13Ancient10-13
BAKS vs Virtus.pro
Jul 30LCache13-8Nuke10-13Mirage7-13
BET-M#781-22-0
FOKUS vs BET-M
Sep 4LInferno8-13Ancient13-10Nuke8-13
BAKS vs BET-M
Jul 28WAncient13-8Inferno13-6
Leo#852-00-2
FOKUS vs Leo
Sep 12WCache13-5Anubis13-2
BAKS vs Leo
Sep 26LCache9-13Nuke10-13
BRUTE#892-11-2
FOKUS vs BRUTE
Oct 27WCache11-13Mirage25-23Nuke13-10
BAKS vs BRUTE
Oct 23LCache13-8Inferno8-13Nuke7-13
OG#1242-12-0
FOKUS vs OG
Jun 23WNuke13-6Dust210-13Overpass13-7
BAKS vs OG
Aug 14WMirage13-6Inferno13-11
LFO 10#1702-01-2
FOKUS vs LFO 10
Oct 30WCache13-7Mirage16-13
BAKS vs LFO 10
Oct 21LMirage13-7Cache7-13Ancient4-13
CYBERSHOKE2-10-4
FOKUS vs CYBERSHOKE
Jun 20WDust213-5Overpass7-13Ancient13-8
BAKS vs CYBERSHOKE
Sep 30LDust27-13Cache9-13Sep 15LCache11-13Dust211-13
SPARTA2-11-2
FOKUS vs SPARTA
Sep 26WDust214-16Cache13-7Nuke13-6
BAKS vs SPARTA
Sep 16LAncient19-16Dust25-13Inferno3-13

Map lab

FOKUS67%to win the Bo3 · most likely FOKUS 2-0
If the veto goes
FOKUS 67%how the series ends33% BAKS
38%2-013%
29%2-120%
Map 1AncientFOKUS pick
FOKUS52%28-11vsBAKS48%8-3
72%Win73%
60%CT55%
53%T52%
62%Pistol45%
83%Conv80%
Map 2CacheBAKS pick
FOKUS73%16-3vsBAKS27%21-13
84%Win62%
56%CT55%
59%T53%
55%Pistol46%
81%Conv94%
Map 3Nukedecider
FOKUS59%23-17vsBAKS41%9-10
58%Win47%
60%CT58%
45%T38%
43%Pistol55%
85%Conv81%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

FOKUSAncientBAKS
60%CT side55%
53%T side52%
62%Pistol45%
83%After win80%
30%After loss8%
FOKUSCacheBAKS
56%CT side55%
59%T side53%
55%Pistol46%
81%After win94%
24%After loss19%
FOKUSNukeBAKS
60%CT side58%
45%T side38%
43%Pistol55%
85%After win81%
37%After loss18%
Pistol rounds53% · 48% · FOKUS win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol83% · 87% · BAKS keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol32% · 17% · FOKUS fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, FOKUS vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapFOKBAK
AnubisFOK ban50%3-3n/a0g
FOKUS on Anubis
LNuclear TigeRES8–134d agoLNuclear TigeRES3–1317d agoWIberian Soul13–111mo agoWLeo13–22mo agoW1win13–112mo agoLex-Zero Tenacity13–162mo ago
BAKS on Anubis
no recent maps
InfernoBAK ban50%11-1129%4-10
FOKUS on Inferno
LJiJieHao8–1329d agoLBET-M8–132mo agoLAcend4–133mo agoWPartizan16–123mo agoLHEROIC10–133mo agoWNoir Verse13–45mo agoLfnatic7–135mo agoLWildcard7–135mo ago
BAKS on Inferno
LGenOne7–131d agoLBRUTE8–138d agoLG2 Ares13–1615d agoLINOX Division5–131mo agoLBlack Phoenix6–131mo agoLG2 Ares11–131mo agoLSPARTA3–132mo agoLColor4–132mo ago
AncientFOK pick72%28-1173%8-3
FOKUS on Ancient
WNuclear TigeRES13–84d agoWex-666613–37d agoWYounglings13–317d agoWJust Players13–217d agoLAstralis8–131mo agoLSashi8–132mo agoLVirtus.pro10–132mo agoLNemiga3–132mo ago
BAKS on Ancient
WSaint Sinners13–94d agoLMetizport8–136d agoWIllyrians13–67d agoLLFO 104–1310d agoWG2 Ares22–201mo agoWSPARTA19–162mo agoWex-RUBY13–52mo agoLWBT7–132mo ago
CacheBAK pick84%16-362%21-13
FOKUS on Cache
WLFO 1013–71d agoLBRUTE11–134d agoWUNiTY13–710d agoWex-Zero Tenacity16–1311d agoWJust Players16–1217d agoLBBL4–1329d agoWJohnny Speeds13–129d agoWEAC EXTRA13–129d ago
BAKS on Cache
WGenOne13–41d agoLMetizport6–136d agoLIllyrians10–137d agoWBRUTE13–88d agoWAzuolas13–29d agoLLFO 107–1310d agoLIllyrians11–1311d agoLBlack Phoenix6–1312d ago
MirageFOK ban45%13-1677%10-3
FOKUS on Mirage
WLFO 1016–131d agoWBRUTE25–234d agoLUNiTY8–1310d agoLBBL11–1329d agoLNemiga20–221mo agoLSangal11–131mo agoLVirtus.pro10–132mo agoWNinjas in Pyjamas13–102mo ago
BAKS on Mirage
WSaint Sinners13–74d agoWLFO 1013–710d agoWIllyrians13–811d agoWBushido Wildcats13–217d agoWCRUISER AURORA13–31mo agoWSTATE13–71mo agoWBlack Phoenix13–101mo agoWSpirit Academy13–112mo ago
Dust2BAK ban44%17-2238%9-15
FOKUS on Dust2
Wex-Zero Tenacity13–115d agoLUNiTY8–1310d agoLNuclear TigeRES4–1317d agoWex-Zero Tenacity13–218d agoLNordic Partners9–1320d agoLNemiga6–131mo agoLSPARTA14–161mo agoWSangal13–31mo ago
BAKS on Dust2
LSaint Sinners5–134d agoWIllyrians13–77d agoWIllyrians13–611d agoLBlack Phoenix11–1312d agoLFORZE Reload6–1313d agoWG2 Ares13–1015d agoLBushido Wildcats9–1317d agoLCYBERSHOKE7–131mo ago
Nukedecider58%23-1747%9-10
FOKUS on Nuke
WBRUTE13–104d agoWNuclear TigeRES13–114d agoWex-Zero Tenacity13–65d agoWex-666616–137d agoWex-Zero Tenacity13–711d agoWNuclear TigeRES13–517d agoWYounglings13–317d agoWBBL13–529d ago
BAKS on Nuke
WMetizport13–106d agoLBRUTE7–138d agoWAzuolas16–149d agoWSpirit Academy13–618d agoLK2710–131mo agoLLeo10–131mo agoLSTATE6–131mo agoLSpirit Academy Green10–131mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: FOKUS Anubis · BAKS Anubis.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

FOKUS

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i44/118 (37%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 118 maps they won, 44 (37%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 37% of their wins were comebacks, not 37% of all games.vs Just PlayersAncientfrom 11 downvs ex-Zero TenacityCachefrom 8 downvs ex-6666Nukefrom 7 downvs ex-Zero TenacityDust2from 7 downvs JiJieHaoAncientfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i28/85 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 85 maps they lost, 28 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BBLCacheled 9 · lost 4-13vs INFINITEMirageled 8 · lost 5-13vs NemigaMirageled 7 · lost 14-16vs NemigaDust2led 7 · lost 6-13vs EYEBALLERSInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Just PlayersAncientfrom 11 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BBLCacheled 9 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi36% · 28Close maps (≤3) · OT36% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 28 went to overtime.vs Inner CircleDust216-14vs Inner CircleMirage16-13vs Friendly CampersNuke16-13vs 100 ThievesInferno16-14vs VocaAncient16-12

BAKS

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i21/61 (34%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 61 maps they won, 21 (34%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 34% of their wins were comebacks, not 34% of all games.vs AzuolasCachefrom 11 downvs CRUISER AURORAMiragefrom 10 downvs G2 AresCachefrom 10 downvs K28Dust2from 9 downvs SPARTAAncientfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i17/55 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 55 maps they lost, 17 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs SPARTAInfernoled 10 · lost 3-13vs Black PhoenixDust2led 7 · lost 10-13vs K27Cacheled 7 · lost 17-19vs GenOneInfernoled 7 · lost 7-13vs G2 AresInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs AzuolasCachefrom 11 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs SPARTAInfernoled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs XcityInferno16-13vs ReThinkMirage26-28vs MisaNuke12-16vs SPARTAAncient19-16vs G2 AresAncient22-20

FOKUS vs BAKS FAQ

Who is favored to win FOKUS vs BAKS?

FOKUS are favored with a 73% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for FOKUS vs BAKS?

Bookmakers price FOKUS at 1.26 and BAKS at 3.54 (implied 74% vs 26%).

When do FOKUS and BAKS play?

FOKUS vs BAKS is scheduled for 2026-10-31 15:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 12.